New England Patriots -4.5 — NFL Pick

The Number

We are backing New England -4.5 (-120) at home against Pittsburgh. The release check found -5.5 as the main spread at the other three priority sportsbooks, making this the better main number for a Patriots position. FanDuel also offered the lowest price for -4.5 among the four books checked.

The Risk

The extra juice matters, and a better number than another sportsbook does not guarantee betting value. Pittsburgh keeping this close remains the risk. We are taking a measured three-star position with 1 unit at risk.

BET WISELY.